Refining Tumor Mutational Burden as a Predictive Biomarker for Pembrolizumab: A Real-World Analysis in Japanese Patients.

Journal: Cancer science

This study evaluated tumor mutational burden (TMB) as a real-world predictor of pembrolizumab efficacy in a large Japanese cohort with advanced solid tumors, using data from 63,952 patients in a national genomic–clinical database.

Among 1,899 patients treated with pembrolizumab who had comprehensive genomic profiling (FoundationOne CDx, OncoGuide NCC Oncopanel, or GenMine TOP), TMB was categorized as:

  • TMB-high: ≥10 mut/Mb
  • TMB-low: <10 mut/Mb

Key findings:

  • Distribution of TMB: Of 1,899 patients, 946 were TMB-high and 953 were TMB-low.
  • Objective response rate (ORR): In TMB-high patients, ORR exceeded 30% and was significantly higher than in TMB-low patients (16.8%, p < 0.001), supporting TMB as a clinically useful predictive biomarker in routine practice.
  • Borderline TMB: Patients with “borderline” TMB (10 to <13 mut/Mb) had more modest responses (ORR 20.8%), indicating that values just above the conventional cutoff may be less robustly predictive.
  • Excluding hotspot mutations: When hotspot mutations were excluded from TMB calculations, ORR discrimination between groups improved, suggesting that removing recurrent driver alterations refines TMB’s predictive accuracy.

Overall, the data support TMB as a meaningful biomarker for pembrolizumab response in an Asian real-world setting and indicate that adjusting TMB by excluding hotspot mutations may be particularly important for patients with TMB values near the standard threshold.

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